Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter
\nFollow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter
\nWarm-Up
\n- Let's Make a Deal!
\n- News Dominated by ... SpaceX
\n- This week - Fed rate Decision
\n- Need a new CTP (SPACEX?)
Markets
\n- Another V Formation - Nearing Highs again
\n- IPO Madness - Anthropic and OpenAi
\n- SpaceX IPO - could drain markets
\n- More AI valuations through the roof
DEDICATION: Stu Schifter - my good friend of 30 years passed away last night... battled Cancer for 2 years.
\nMarket Valuations
\n- S&P 500 Forward P/E = 22.5
\n- 10-yr average = 19–20x
\n- Long-term average 18-19
\n- Not cheap, pricing in a lot of earnings growth.
- NASDAQ 100 forward P/E = 23-24
\n- 1-yr average ~23x
\n- 20-yr average ~20–21x
\n- Not screaming expensive on a forward basis
\n- - NOTE: Training P/E = 33-40
NEW Playbook
\n- But the Rumor and Buy the News
\n- used to be Buy the Rumor and Sell the News
\n- This is why there is an announcement about something and then a date to follow....
\n- Monday = Deal, Friday = signing
On that note
\n- What is the deal anyway?
\n- Seems that we (USA) moving out our navy before the final
\n- Straights of Hormuz opening -??
\n- Has anyone seen the text?
\n- We are no better than we were before all this started...
Headline Nonsense
\n- Fox Business: Beware the ticking time bomb hiding in your 401(k)
\n- Required minimum distributions can trigger taxes on Social Security benefits and boost Medicare premiums
\n- This is not a ticking time bomb. This is just reality when you have a lot saved and need to start withdrawals
\n- HOWEVER - there are ways around this and we have helped clients with this.
\n- - Listeners - if you have a 401k and think that you will be paying too much later on - we can take a look at the options...
More Retirement Alerts
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Let’s Make a Deal!
News Dominated by … SpaceX
This week – Fed rate Decision
Need a new CTP (SPACEX?)
PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts!
Click HERE for Show Notes and LinksDHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar.
Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter
Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter
Warm-Up - Let's Make a Deal! - News Dominated by ... SpaceX - This week - Fed rate Decision - Need a new CTP (SPACEX?)
Markets - Another V Formation - Nearing Highs again - IPO Madness - Anthropic and OpenAi - SpaceX IPO - could drain markets - More AI valuations through the roof
DEDICATION: Stu Schifter - my good friend of 30 years passed away last night... battled Cancer for 2 years.
Market Valuations - S&P 500 Forward P/E = 22.5 - 10-yr average = 19–20x - Long-term average 18-19 - Not cheap, pricing in a lot of earnings growth.
- NASDAQ 100 forward P/E = 23-24 - 1-yr average ~23x - 20-yr average ~20–21x - Not screaming expensive on a forward basis - - NOTE: Training P/E = 33-40
NEW Playbook - But the Rumor and Buy the News - used to be Buy the Rumor and Sell the News - This is why there is an announcement about something and then a date to follow.... - Monday = Deal, Friday = signing
On that note - What is the deal anyway? - Seems that we (USA) moving out our navy before the final - Straights of Hormuz opening -?? - Has anyone seen the text? - We are no better than we were before all this started...
Headline Nonsense - Fox Business: Beware the ticking time bomb hiding in your 401(k) - Required minimum distributions can trigger taxes on Social Security benefits and boost Medicare premiums - This is not a ticking time bomb. This is just reality when you have a lot saved and need to start withdrawals - HOWEVER - there are ways around this and we have helped clients with this. - - Listeners - if you have a 401k and think that you will be paying too much later on - we can take a look at the options...
More Retirement Alerts - Social Security runnin